Predicting publication year and generational language shift

Before end-of-semester madness, I was looking at how shifts in vocabulary usage occur. In many cases, I found, vocabulary change doesn't happen evenly across across all authors. Instead, it can happen generationally; older people tend to use words at the rate that was common in their youth, and younger people anticipate future word patterns. An eighty-year-old in 1880 uses a world like "outside" more like a 40-year-old in 1840 than he does like a 40-year-old in 1880. The original post has a more detailed explanation.

Will had some some good questions in the comments about how different words fit these patterns. Looking at different types of words should help find some more ways that this sort of investigation is interesting, and show how different sorts of language vary. But to look at other sorts of words, I should be a little clearer about the kind of words I chose the first time through. If I can describe the usage pattern for a "word like 'outside'," just what kind of words are like 'outside'? Can we generalize the trend that they demonstrate?

Genres in Motion

Here's an animation of the PCA numbers I've been exploring this last week.

There's quite a bit of data built in here, and just what it means is up for grabs. But it shows some interesting possibilities. As a reminder: at the end of my first post on categorizing genres, I arranged all the genres in the Library of Congress Classification in two dimensional space using the first two principal components. PCA basically find the combinations of variables that most define the differences within a group. (Read more by me here or generally here.). The first dimension roughly corresponded to science vs. non-science: the second separated social science from the humanities. It did, I think, a pretty good job at showing which fields were close to each other. But since I do history, I wanted to know: do those relations change? Here's that same data, but arranged to show how those positions shift over time. I made this along the same lines as the great Rosling/Gapminder bubble charts, created with this via this. To get it started, I'm highlighting psychology.


[If this doesn't load, you can click through to the file here]. What in the world does this mean?

Vector Space, overlapping genres, and the world beyond keyword search

I wanted to see how well the vector space model of documents I've been using for PCA works at classifying individual books. [Note at the outset: this post swings back from the technical stuff about halfway through, if you're sick of the charts.] While at the genre level the separation looks pretty nice, some of my earlier experiments with PCA, as well as some of what I read in the Stanford Literature Lab's Pamphlet One, made me suspect individual books would be sloppier. There are a couple different ways to ask this question. One is to just drop the books as individual points on top of the separated genres, so we can see how they fit into the established space. By the first two principal components, for example, we can make all the books  in LCC subclasses "BF" (psychology) blue, and use red for "QE" (Geology), overlaying them on a chart of the first two principal components like I've been using for the last two posts:

That's a little worse than I was hoping. Generally the books stay close to their term, but there is a lot of variation, and even a little bit of overlap. Can we do better? And what would that mean?

PCA on years

I used principal components analysis at the end of my last post to create a two-dimensional plot of genre based on similarities in word usage. As a reminder, here's an improved (using all my data on the 10,000 most common words) version of that plot:

I have a professional interest in shifts in genres. But this isn't temporal--it's just a static depiction of genres that presumably waxed and waned over time. What can we do to make it historical?

Fresh set of eyes

One of the most important services a computer can provide for us is a different way of reading. It's fast, bad at grammar, good at counting, and generally provides a different perspective on texts we already know in one way.

And though a text can be a book, it can also be something much larger. Take library call numbers. Library of Congress headings classifications are probably the best hierarchical classification of books we'll ever get. Certainly they're the best human-done hierarchical classification. It's literally taken decades for librarians to amass the card catalogs we have now, with their classifications of every book in every university library down to several degrees of specificity. But they're also a little foreign, at times, and it's not clear how well they'll correspond to machine-centric ways of categorizing books. I've been playing around with some of the data on LCC headings classes and subclasses with some vague ideas of what it might be useful for and how we can use categorized genre to learn about patterns in intellectual history. This post is the first part of that.

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Everybody loves dendrograms, even if they don't like statistics. Here's a famous one, from the French Encylopedia.

(From http://quod.lib.umich.edu/d/did/: translation)

 That famous tree of knowledge raises two questions for me:

Second Principals

Back to my own stuff. Before the Ngrams stuff came up, I was working on ways of finding books that share similar vocabularies. I said at the end of my second ngrams post that we have hundreds of thousands of dimensions for each book: let me explain what I mean. My regular readers were unconvinced, I think, by my first foray here into principal components, but I'm going to try again. This post is largely a test of whether I can explain principal components analysis to people who don't know about it so: correct me if you already understand PCA, and let me know me know what's unclear if you don't. (Or, it goes without saying, skip it.)

Start with an example. Let's say I'm interested in social theory. I can take two words—"social" and "political"—and count how frequent each of them is --something like two or three out of every thousand words is one of those. I can even make a chart, where every point is a book, with one axis the percentage of words in that book that are "social" and the other the percentage that are "political." I put a few books on it just to show what it finds:

First Principals

Let me get ahead of myself a little.

For reasons related to my metadata, I had my computer assemble some data on the frequencies of the most common words (I explain why at the end of the post.) But it raises some exciting possibilities using forms of clustering and principal components analysis (PCA); I can't resist speculating a little bit about what else it can do to help explore ways different languages intersect. With some charts at the bottom.